Tuesday, June 4, 2019
Should Turkey be allowed to join the European Union?
Should flop be solelyowed to join the European coalescence?ExecutiveSummary The membership of Tur rudimentary is one of the virtually controversial external relations issues of the European Union (EU). turkey is an heavy trading partner for the EU and provides many economic advantages to the union. Additionally, it has a strategicalal location, allowing it to exploit an important regional and foreign polity role. However, there are issues related to misfires memory access, such as large migration flows to more economically developed EU-15 countries as well as a substandard human rights situation within the country (Gerhards and Hans, 2011 751). Overall, this policy note recommends that turkey should be allowed to join the EU on the basis of EU economic development and foreign policy advantages. Despite the issues related to opening of Turkey into the EU, this notify argues that EU-membership give work as a catalyst for Turkish institutional reforms.Introduction Tur kish entry into the European Union is ahighly contentious issue. Turkey hasprogressed on the representation to EU membership in spite of persistent and increasingdivergence of membership preferences (Schimmelfennig, 2009 413-415). Turkey, with itslarge, dynamic economy, is an important trading partner for the EU, it also hasa strategic location, including on energy security, and plays an importantregional role. Equally, the EU remains an important anchor for Turkeyseconomic and political reform (Progress Report, 2013 1). This paper give firstprovide an analysis and outline of the different f moveors relating to theaccession of Turkey into the EU. It willexplore economic factors, cultural factors and political factors. Finally, this paper will recommend thatTurkey should be allowed to join the EU due to its positive affect on EUeconomic development, as well as the fact that Turkey has made good progress inmeeting a lot of the Accession criteria set out in the Copenhagen agreement. This paper will also capture recommendations on whatTurkey must do in order to fully meet EU standards for accession. ContextTurkey first became affiliated with the EU in1963 after signing an associate membership agreement with the thence European Community. The decisions to giveTurkey a membership perspective and to open accession negotiations cook beenhighly controversial among member state governments and have tended to producelong and conflictive negotiations as well as uneasy compromises(Schimmelfennig, 2009 414). A major breakthrough came at theHelsinki meeting of the European Council in 1999, when Turkey attained statusas a candidate for membership. It now has a so-called Accession confederationwith the EU, which means that the EU is workingtogether with Turkey to enable it to adopt the acquis communautaire, whichis the legal modeling of the EU (Togan, 2004 1013).The Copenhagen Criteria cover astates cogency to take on the acquis communautaire, the economiccriteria for a functional market economy, and above all, stableness ofinstitutions guaranteeing democracy, the rule of law, human rights and respectfor and guard of minorities (Schimmelfennig, 2009 420). Overall, Turkey has made operative efforts to fulfil requested accession criteria throughsocio-economic and cultural convergence with EU Member States. AnalysisEconomic FactorsMany studies have shown that economic factorsplay a significant role in shaping attitudes towards different aspects ofEuropean integration. Turkeysprogress on meeting the requirements of the Copenhagen Criteria is confirmed bysocioeconomic indicators that report the level of modernization of thecountry (Alber, 2007). Turkey is the 17thlargest economy globally, and the most current EU progress report states thatTurkey has sufficient macroeconomic stability and the medium-term capabilityfor integration into the single European market (Gerhards and Hans, 2011 744). Turkey is a large and fast expanding market,it is the larges t market in the Middle East, Balkans and Caucasus. According tothe World Bank, Turkish GDP is as large as 80 per cent of Russian GDP (Togan,2004 1043). Turkey, located at the crossroads betweenEurope, Eurasia and the Middle East, has the potential to act as a major linkbetween these markets. Withharmonization of commercial legislation, EU companies will be able to useTurkey as a joint investment and export base for the Middle East and Eurasia. Moreover, Istanbul is emerging astransnational corporations headquarters for operations in the Caucasus andCentral Asia. The EU will derive potential gains from increase trade in theregion (Togan, 2004 1043-1044).Overall, the Progress Report on Turkeys EUAccession (2013 4) states that Turkey is a functioning market economy, andshould therefore be able to cope with competitive pressure and market forceswithin the Union in the medium term.Additionally, with Turkish accession current members will derive welfaregains from standard comparative adva ntage sources and also from growth effectsof integration. This report argues that accession of Turkeyto the EU will bring economic benefits for Turkey as well as to the EUitself. The largest economic gains canbe obtained through reforms of national institutions in Turkey that cleanse thefunctioning of the public sector and provide transparency to investors andtraders (Lejour and Mooij, 2005 117). Integration will remove thedistortions in the price system, boosting the allocative efciency in theeconomy, which in turn will stumble the country a better place to invest. Furthermore, with accession Turkey will beeligible for EU structural funds. The increase in infrastructural investments will bear to economic growth in Turkey. In addition, Turkey will reap benetsfrom monetary integration, and nally, Turkey will benet from migration ofTurkish cranch to the EU (Togan, 2004 1042). The key theoretical constructs investigatedto explain foe to Turkeys EU membership are related to rational economic self-interest and group-level interests and concerns (McClaren, 2007251). Turkey is relatively shortsighted andagricultural, it can therefore be argued that Turkish membership is likely toincrease the divergence of living standards in the EU, create a high potentialfor labour migration and instigate demand for high net payments from the structuraland agricultural funds. Welfare gainsthat will be derived by Turkey from integration will have a price. The pricewill be the adjustment costs associated with the attainment of macroeconomicstability, adoption of CAP, liberalization of services and network industries,and complying with EU environmental directives (Togan, 2004 1042).Migration/Cultural Factors In addition to direct fiscal implications,EU member states are subject to an new(prenominal) doable economic consequence ofTurkish accession, immigration.Hostility to Turkeys candidacy can be explained by the threateningcontext of Turkish migration (McClaren, 2007 251). It can be argued that migration flows couldhave negative economic consequences, such as increased competition inparticular segments of the labour market.In particular, countries in the more economically developed EU-15 arelikely to be intrusion to the highest degree (Gerhards and Hans, 2011 751), only it will likely take decades before Turkey attains an income levelcomparable to these countries. This willcontinue to be a strong incentive for migration from Turkey to other EUcountries, EU-15 countries fear that the immigrants will depress wages, boost unemploymentand cause social friction and political upheavals (Togan, 2004 1031-1032).However, one assumption in theanalysis of Turkish migration is that all labour is homogenous. In reality labour is highly differentiatedaccording to many factors, which results in the effects of migration for incomedistribution and social welfare becoming little clear-cut. The empirical research on the economic effectsof immigration indicates fairly small and on the whole positive effects. Employment opportunities are not affectedmuch, the wage of low skilled labour is depressed somewhat but that of skilledlabour is raised, and the net present value of public transfers is positive (Togan,2004 1043). Therefore, this paperargues that with appropriate measures, immigration is not necessarily anegative consequence of Turkeys accession into the EU.It is not just the threat to resourcespresented by Turks that affects feelings almost the Turkish candidacy, threatsto culture and way of life are likely to be particularly strong in the Turkishcase (Ivarsflaten, 2005). In addition tothe possible problem of being perceived as traditional or backward, Turkeyfaces the potential difficulty of being predominantly Muslim (McClaren, 2007258). The recent drawbacks in thenegotiations of the EU with Croatia, Serbia, and Turkey have been caused byissues of national identity related to legacies of ethnic conflict that arelikely to create high political c osts to the seat governments. As a result,whereas consistency has remained high, effectiveness is reduced (Schimmelfennig,2004 918). Nevertheless, sociostructuraldifferences between Turkey and the EU Member States have been shrinking. The percentage of the Turkish populationworking in agriculture has sunk, education levels have risen and the overallstandard of living has increased (Gerhards and Hans, 2011 744).The commission critiques Turkeyon its human rights situation, on its limited freedom of speech and on its lackof gender equality. However, accordingto the Freedom House Index, Turkey has improved consistently in its level ofdemocratization, political freedom and well-mannered liberties over recent years(Gerhards and Hans, 2011 744). Overall,these improvements represent measurable developments regarding Turkeys convergencewith the EU and its fulfilment of EU accession criteria. Additionally, Freedom in the call forth hasimproved, however, it still has a long way to go in or der to reach the levelsof freedom held by EU-15 countries. Keyprovisions of the Turkish legal theoretical account and their interpretation by membersof the judiciary continue to hamper freedom of expression, including freedom ofthe media (Progress Report, 2013 2).Foreign PolicyThecommission emphasized Turkeysincreasingly important foreign policy significance for Europe, for example itsintermediary role between Syria and Israel, its diplomatic approaches withArmenia, and above all, its role in the military conflict between Russia andatomic number 31 (Schmid, 2008). Turkey hascontinued to play an important role in its wider neighbourhood, for exampleexpanding its activities as a non-traditional donor in the Horn of Africa,supporting democratic passage in North Africa, and enhancing cooperationwith and between Afghanistan and Pakistan. It has played a particularlyimportant role on Syria, supporting the development of a more unifiedopposition and providing vital humanitarian assistanc e to large numbers ofSyrians fleeing their country (Progress Report, 2013 3). This suggests Turkey is meeting criteria ofthe Copenhagen Agreement such as the rule of law and the respect for andprotection of minorities. According to the Commission (2008b), expansion in generaland Turkish membership specifically would strengthen the EUs foreign policyweight in the world. Furthermore,Turkeys geographic location makes it well-suited as a transit country for oiland natural gas and it could therefore play a strategic role in securing theEUs energy supply (Gerhardsand Hans, 2011 744). Turkish membership could help to securestability and security in the Balkans and Caucasus. The EU could then increaseits energy security and also decrease its defence expenditures (Togan, 20041043-1044). This paper argues that thisis indication that Turkey should be allowed to join the EU.RecommendationsIn order to maintain its impact on political reform underthe conditions of political unrest, the EU will u navoidableness to reassure applicantgovernments of the credibility of its commitment to outburst and movenegotiations with Turkey closer to the endgame.Creating uncertainty about admission even after full compliance destroysthis credibility and will reduce the effectiveness of conditionality even further(schimmelfennig, 2008 933). Overall,this policy note recommends that Turkey should be allowed to join the EU on thebasis of EU economic development and foreign policy advantages provided itagrees to make continued efforts in the realm of human rights. The issues with regards to human rights in Turkey underlinethe importance for the EU to enhance its engagement with Turkey. This paper recommends that the overall legalframework and exert on the intervention of law enforcement officers shouldbe brought in line with European standards to guarantee under all circumstancesthe right to freedom of assembly.Additionally, an ECHR-compatible legal framework has yet to beestablished on matters of faith and conscientious objection. Substantial efforts are needed to effectivelyguarantee the rights of women, children and LGBT individuals (Progress Report,2013 2). These shortcomings need to beaddressed in order for Turkey to be a successful member of the EU. In regards to immigration associated with the accession ofTurkey to the EU, this paper recommends that government leaders will need toadopt measures to allay fears among EU citizens, perhaps including provisionfor a waiting period on the free movement of labour provision (McClaren, 2007274, Gerhards and Hans, 2011 763).In conclusion, this report argues thatEU-membership will work as a catalyst for Turkish institutional reforms. Turkey has made progress towards meeting agood amount of the accession criteria, and by becoming a member of the EU,Turkey has to conform to all EU legislation and enforcement by the EuropeanCourt of Justice. Furthemore, via themethod of open coordination, Turkey will regularly be assessed by the EuropeanCommission and other member countries on its economic policies. EU membership can thus origination institutionalreform in Turkey and reduce widespread corruption (Lejour and de Mooij, 2005101). BibliographyAlber, J. (2007)Where Turkey Stands in Europa and why it Should Be Admitted to the EU.Discussion Paper SP I 2007-205, Social Science Research Center. https//core.ac.uk/download/pdf/6628025.pdf Accessed 11 Nov 2016.Commission of theEuropean Communities (2008b) Enlargement strategy and main challenges20082009. Communication from the Commission to the Council and the EuropeanParliament. COM. Pp.1-66. http//ec.europa.eu/enlargement/pdf/press_corner/keydocuments/reports_nov_2008/strategy_paper_incl_country_conclu_en.pdf Accessed 7 Nov 2016.European Commission working document (2013) Turkey 2013 ProgressReport.http//vle.exeter.ac.uk/pluginfile.php/724824/mod_resource/content/1/European%20Commission%20working%20document%20-%20progress%20on%20Turkeys%20EU%20accession%202013.pdf Accessed 2 Nov 2016.Gerhards, J. and Hans, S. (2011) Why not Turkey? Attitudes towardsTurkish Membership in the EU among Citizens in 27 European Countries. Journal of Common Market Studies. Vol.49 (4), pp. 741766.http//vle.exeter.ac.uk/pluginfile.php/724823/mod_resource/content/1/j.14685965.2010.02155.x.pdf Accessed 5 Nov 2016.Ivarsflaten, E.(2005) endanger by Diversity Why Restrictive Asylum and ImmigrationPolicies Appeal to Western Europeans. Journal of Elections, humankind Opinionand Parties. Vol.15(1), pp. 2145.http//www.tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1080/13689880500064577 Accessed 8 Nov 2016.Lejour, A. M. andde Mooij, R. A. (2005) Turkish Delight Does Turkeys Accession to the EUBring Economic Benefits? Kyklos. Vol.58 (1), pp. 87-120.http//0-onlinelibrary.wiley.com.lib.exeter.ac.uk/doi/10.1111/j.0023-5962.2005.00279.x/epdf Accessed 6 Nov 2016.McClaren, L.M.(2007) Explaining opposition to Turkish membership of the EU. European Union Politics. Vol. 8 (2), pp.251-278.http//vle.exeter .ac.uk/pluginfile.php/724821/mod_resource/content/1/European%20Union%20Politics-2007-McLaren-251-78.pdf Accessed 1 Nov 2016.Schimmelfennig, F. (2008) EU political accession conditionality afterthe 2004 enlargement consistency and effectiveness. Journal of European Public Policy. Vol. 15 (6), pp. 918-937.http//dx.doi.org/10.1080/13501760802196861 Accessed 8 Nov 2016.Schimmelfennig, F. (2009)Entrapped again The way to EU membershipnegotiations with Turkey, InternationalPolitics. Vol. 46 (4), pp. 413-431.http//vle.exeter.ac.uk/pluginfile.php/724822/mod_resource/content/1/ip20095a.pdf Accessed 3 Nov 2016.Schmid, F. (2008)Strategiepapier zur EU-Erweiterung. Brssel lobpreist die Trkei. FinancialTimes Deutschland, 28 October. Togan, S. (2004)Turkey Toward EU Accession, The WorldEconomy. Vol. 27 (7), pp. 10131045.http//0onlinelibrary.wiley.com.lib.exeter.ac.uk/doi/10.1111/j.03785920.2004.00641.x/abstractjsessionid=915358403C934900F4FE9BD17D95BEE2.f02t04 Accessed 12 Nov2016
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